Tuesday, September 3, 2013

US Open Daily Graph - Ivanovic vs Azarenka

Ana Ivanovic Miami
Ana Ivanovic
Today's graph comes from Victoria Azarenka's three set victory over Ana Ivanovic. Despite winning the first set, Ivanovic's win probability never exceeded 50% (she started the game with a win probability of 15%). More background here and here.

Ana Ivanovic634 Excitement5.8
Victoria Azarenka466 Comeback0.9


Point Probabilities (Model Inputs)
PlayerServeReturn
Ivanovic0.5810.333
Azarenka0.6670.419

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