Handicapping the Handicappers December 31, 2019 Last year, I launched my thoroughbred betting market rankings , building off the same techniques I used to create similar rankings for the ...
Introducing roboCap: An automated horse race handicapper November 04, 2018 roboCap For last year's Breeders Cup, I unveiled my first attempt at betting market rankings for thoroughbred horses. I publish si...
Betting Market Rankings for the NHL October 13, 2018 In what is surely the second most exciting development of the NHL season , I have added hockey to my suite of betting market team rankings....
Odds Predictions for the Pegasus Cup January 27, 2018 The 2nd running of the $16 million Pegasus World Cup takes place later today at Gulfstream Park. As I did with the Breeders Cup , I will us...
Betting Market Rankings for Horse Racing November 04, 2017 In honor of today's Breeders' Cup races, here is my first attempt at creating a betting market ranking for thoroughbred horse raci...
Playoff Seed Probability Motion Charts April 14, 2017 As I have done the last few seasons , here are motion charts that show how each team's playoff seed probabilities have evolved and s...
NFL Week Four Power Ranking Roundup October 05, 2016 10/7/2016 update: The original version of this post had the incorrect FPI rankings. The table has now been updated and some of the text as w...
NFL Market Rankings are Live September 07, 2016 NFL Vegas rankings are live and will update daily for the remainder of the season. These rankings are an attempt to reverse engineer what t...
Betting Market Rankings for the WNBA July 17, 2016 The WNB-Ays I have added the WNBA to my suite of betting market rankings, to go alongside those for the NBA , NFL , MLB , College Footb...
Playoff Seed Probability Motion Charts April 02, 2016 With an 82 game season, an NBA team's fortunes then to ebb and flow in increments, rather than huge leaps. This gradual evolution ca...
The odds for a perfect bracket this year are 1 in 12 billion March 17, 2016 As I did last year , I have used my betting market rankings to calculate an "optimal" NCAA tournament bracket. My ranking system ...
2015 Early Season Power Rankings - The Results December 31, 2015 In which we rank the rankings... Power rankings are everywhere, but how do we know if they are any good? If they are intended to be predic...
NFL Week Four Power Ranking Roundup October 11, 2015 This time last year, nobody was quite sure what to make of the 2-2 Patriots. In my power ranking roundup post from last year , here is where...
NFL Market Rankings and the Inequities of Playoff Seeding September 07, 2015 The Top Five With the regular season just a few days away, my market based NFL rankings are now up and running. These update daily a...
Vegas Never Doubted Clayton Kershaw August 20, 2015 San Diego's Petco Park The most "pitcher friendly" park in the league according to the market After a long hiatus, betting...
College Basketball Vegas Rankings January 10, 2015 Betting market rankings for College Basketball are now up and running and will update daily throughout the season. As with my NFL , NBA , ...
Playoff Edition of NFL Rankings Now Available January 02, 2015 A playoff version of my NFL rankings are now available and will be updated daily. The new table has columns showing every team's probab...
2014 Early Season Power Rankings - The Results January 01, 2015 Fashion icon Bill Belichick This post is a follow up on this post from October in which I test the accuracy of various NFL power rankin...
Transitive College Football Power Rankings - Bowl Games Edition December 27, 2014 In a recent post ( My Team's Proxy Can Beat Up Your Team's Proxy ), I laid out an approach for comparing two college football teams ...
My Team's Proxy Can Beat Up Your Team's Proxy December 04, 2014 In a few days , the College Football Playoff Selection Committee will release their final team rankings. The committee ranks the top ...