The Hackulator: A Win Probability Based Guide for When to Foul
April 22, 2019
In which we use advanced analytics to ruin basketball (as foretold by prophecy). What good is a sports win probability model? For one, it...
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In a recent post for FiveThirtyEight , Carl Bialik took a look at the length of college basketball games, particularly the grueling slog t... -
This post has been in the works for several months now, and is the result of a deep dive into the NBA's SportVU motion tracking data . ... -
2/3/2013 Update: A more mobile friendly version of the chart: Squares Payouts . My most recent two posts covered the concept of in-game ... -
Phil Jackson, 1986 : "We'd try to take some air out of the ball. You see, on the ball it says something like 'inflate ... -
Last Thursday night, the Bulls trailed the Thunder at home by 1 point with 4.9 seconds left on the clock. The Bulls' inbou... -
The odds of winning a game when down by 6 with 18 seconds left are approximately 250 to 1 . Last month , I rolled out a new version of m...
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Popular Posts
-
In a recent post for FiveThirtyEight , Carl Bialik took a look at the length of college basketball games, particularly the grueling slog t... -
2/3/2013 Update: A more mobile friendly version of the chart: Squares Payouts . My most recent two posts covered the concept of in-game ... -
The Turnover Index makes a belated return this season, with some additional tweaks and enhancements. The Turnover Index is a simple bet...
