US Open Daily Graph - Murray vs Wawrinka

Stanislas Wawrinka, a 3 to 1 underdog against Wimbledon champion Andy Murray, pulled off the upset with a straight set victory. See below for the win probability graph. A key turning point in the match came in the second set. Wawrinka won 12 straight points, dropping Murray's win probability from 57% to 32%.

Andy Murray432 Excitement3.3
Stanislas Wawrinka666 Comeback3.4

Point Probabilities (Model Inputs)
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