 |
| David Ferrer |
Of the four singles matches today,
Richard Gasquet's victory over
David Ferrer was the only one that was not decided in straight sets. A key turning point in the match came in the fifth set. With Ferrer serving at 15-15 and Gasquet leading the set 3-2, Gasquet won three straight points to break Ferrer's serve and take a 4-2 lead. In those three points, Gasquet's win probability increased from 50% to 81%.
Additional background
here and
here.
| Richard Gasquet | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | | Excitement | 5.6 |
| David Ferrer | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 3 | | Comeback | 3.0 |
| Point Probabilities (Model Inputs) |
| Player | Serve | Return |
| Gasquet | 0.607 | 0.358 |
| Ferrer | 0.642 | 0.393 |
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