New NBA feature: Dopplegamers November 17, 2019 A new feature has been added to the site's NBA Win Probability Box Scores , borne largely out of my own idle curiosity. Click the ...
The Hackulator: A Win Probability Based Guide for When to Foul April 22, 2019 In which we use advanced analytics to ruin basketball (as foretold by prophecy). What good is a sports win probability model? For one, it...
Redesign February 09, 2019 I changed some things on the website. Hopefully I didn't break anything in the process. My goal was not to make the site prettier - I...
Introducing roboCap: An automated horse race handicapper November 04, 2018 roboCap For last year's Breeders Cup, I unveiled my first attempt at betting market rankings for thoroughbred horses. I publish si...
Betting Market Rankings for the NHL October 13, 2018 In what is surely the second most exciting development of the NHL season , I have added hockey to my suite of betting market team rankings....
The NBA's new shot clock rule and its effect on pace September 29, 2018 Earlier this month, the NBA formally approved a change to its shot clock rules . Now, following an offensive rebound, the shot clock will re...
Never Bet a Horse Named Joe: Update May 05, 2018 Several years back, I tested a theory that horses with popular boys or girls names were overbet in parimutuel markets. My hunch was that th...