Wednesday, February 18, 2015

New NBA Features at FiveThirtyEight

Today, FiveThirtyEight is running two new features based on my NBA win probability model. The first is a Datalab article on "exciting" NBA games this season and whether those are predictable in advance.

The second is an interactive that summarizes each team's average win probability by minute for the 2014-15 NBA season (pre-All Star break). In effect, it's a real time evolution of a team's win-loss record. For example, midway through the first quarter, the Sacramento Kings still looked like an above 0.500 team. One of the nice things about working with FiveThirtyEight, aside from the added exposure it brings here, is the opportunity to work with their talented data visualization experts - Allison McCann for this feature, and Reuben Fischer-Baum for the NFL Playoff Implications weekly interactive.

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