The Trailblazers have had the most heartbreaking losses this season (on average) March 01, 2015 Choking away victory is alive in Portland I have a new NBA feature on the site: Team Season Profiles . This page aggregates win probabil...
Explaining Team Win-Loss Records March 01, 2015 A useful, sometimes ignored distinction in sports analytics is the difference between a "narrative" stat and a "predictive...
New NBA Features at FiveThirtyEight February 18, 2015 Today, FiveThirtyEight is running two new features based on my NBA win probability model . The first is a Datalab article on "excit...
How NBA Games Are Won February 16, 2015 What's more important in basketball: rebounding or getting to the foul line? Field goal percentage or forcing turnovers? These question...
Anthony Davis's Torrid MVP Pace February 07, 2015 Anthony Davis is still considered a long shot to win NBA MVP this year (d espite recent heroics ). But by at least one measure (and others ...
Updated NBA Win Probability Calculator February 06, 2015 The odds of winning a game when down by 6 with 18 seconds left are approximately 250 to 1 . Last month , I rolled out a new version of m...
Squares Probabilities at FiveThirtyEight February 01, 2015 In a squares pool today? Want to know if your square is any good? Check my latest article at FiveThirtyEight: How Much Money You're Goin...