This year, the odds are slightly less favorable, at 12 billion to 1, but that is still better than the pre-2015 average of 50 billion to 1. Here is how those odds break down by region and the final four:
- Midwest: 163 to 1
- West: 297 to 1
- East: 191 to 1
- South: 227 to 1
- Final Four: 5 to 1
I have created two versions of a populated bracket using my rankings:
- inpredictable optimal - This bracket picks the best team in each matchup, according to my rankings. It's fairly chalk-y, though it does pick a couple 11 seeds, Gonzaga and Wichita State, to make it further than their seed would suggest. Kansas is the predicted champion.
- inpredictable upsets - This bracket picks more upsets, but in a strategic way. The lower seed is picked as long as they are expected to be no worse than a two point underdog in the matchup. Michigan State is the predicted champion.