Week 9 results
There were no week 9 games that satisfied our betting criteria, but here is a summary of season to date performance. We are at a 4.8% ROI so far off of our hypothetical $1,000 bankroll.
Week 10 Picks
There are two bets against the spread this week. We are wagering 3.1% of our bankroll in total. The table below shows the turnover differential, probability of covering, and the recommended fraction of bankroll to bet, according to the Kelly Criterion.
|Chiefs @ Bills||5||18||13||1.6||Chiefs||53.7%||2.8%|
|Steelers @ Jets||13||3||-10||-1.1||Jets||52.5%||0.3%|
The "Old" Index
Under the original, simpler betting approach (bet any game with at least a 10 defensive turnover differential between the teams), season to date results for 2014 are 2-0 against the spread.