Monday, April 7, 2014

New Stats for Box Scores and Player Pages

I've had some updates to the win probability box scores and player totals waiting in the wings for some time. With the NBA taking the night off for the NCAA Men's Final, now seemed to be a good time to push through the changes. A brief summary:

  • Clutch and Garbage Time WPA: These stats (as defined in this post) are now a standard part of both the box scores and the player totals. As of April 7, James Harden is still the league leader in Clutch WPA.
  • "Hero" and "Goat": In addition to the MVP and LVP designations, which specify the players with the highest and lowest win probability added (WPA), "Hero" and "Goat" does the same for Clutch WPA. More often than not, the MVP and Hero will be the same player, but not always. Take last Friday's double OT thriller between the Heat and the Timberwolves. Chase Budinger was the MVP, due to solid production throughout the game. But Chris Bosh receives the Hero tag (in a losing effort) because of his contributions in clutch situations (see here, here, here, and here).
  • True Shooting Percentage: In the box scores, I have replaced Effective Field Goal Percentage (eFG%) with True Shooting Percentage (TS%), as that is more closely aligned with the component of WPA I am comparing it to (it includes both field goals as well as foul shots).

More updates to come.

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