Wednesday, December 4, 2013

Turnover Index - Week 14

There are no Turnover Index picks for Week 14 (no games meet the minimum criteria), but here are the results for Week 13. The Turnover Index is a simple betting strategy based on the theory that the market overvalues defensive turnovers when judging team strength. See here and here for more background.

Week 13 results

The Week 13 picks went 2-2 against the spread, but with a $21 gain to the bankroll (the two winning bets were for higher stakes). Here are the season to date results:
  • Against the Spread: 11-15-1
  • Starting Bankroll: $1,000
  • Current Bankroll: $797 (-20% ROI)
Here is the week by week performance:

weekbetswonstarting
bankroll
amount betprofitsending
bankroll
4 2 0 $1,000 $268 (26.8%) ($268) $731
6 1 1 $731 $32 (4.5%) $29 $761
7 3 3 $761 $130 (17.1%) $118 $879
8 3 1 $879 $70 (8.1%) ($12) $867
9 7 2 $867 $166 (19.2%) ($66) $800
10 4 1.5 $800 $95 (11.9%) ($45) $755
11 2 0 $755 $14 (1.9%) ($14) $741
12 1 1 $741 $37 (5.1%) $34 $775
13 4 2 $775 $46 (5.9%) $21 $797

The "Old" Index

Under last season's simpler betting approach (bet any game with at least a 10 turnover differential), season to date results for 2013 are 8-9-1 against the spread.

2 comments:

  1. Will you be publishing this series again this season? Thanks.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yep. However, there are no betting opportunities for week 5.

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