Monday, September 2, 2013

US Open Daily Graph - Navarro vs Kerber

Today's graph is from Carla Suarez Navarro's three set victory over Angelique Kerber. A lot of drama in the third set, with several service breaks on each side, leading to a high "Excitement Index" of 9.6 (a measure of how far the win probability graph travelled over the course of the match). See here and here for more background.

Carla Suarez Navarro467 Excitement9.6
Angelique Kerber636 Comeback8


Point Probabilities (Model Inputs)
PlayerServeReturn
Navarro0.6140.364
Kerber0.6360.387

No comments:

Post a Comment