Sunday, June 16, 2013

NBA Finals Game 5 - Win Probability Graph

Here is the win probability graph for Game 5. More background here and here.

Miami Heat104 Excitement4.4
San Antonio Spurs114 Comeback1.2


TOP PLAYS
Prior StatePlayEnd StateBeforeChangeAfter
Q3 | 3:04 | MIA:74 SAS:75 | Poss:SASDanny Green makes 26-foot three point jumper (Boris Diaw assists)Q3 | 2:54 | MIA:74 SAS:78 | Poss:MIA53.4%+8.4%61.8%
Q3 | 2:31 | MIA:74 SAS:78 | Poss:SASManu Ginobili makes free throw 1 of 1Q3 | 2:20 | MIA:74 SAS:81 | Poss:MIA65.4%+8.0%73.4%
Q3 | 3:12 | MIA:71 SAS:75 | Poss:MIAShane Battier makes free throw 1 of 1Q3 | 3:04 | MIA:74 SAS:75 | Poss:SAS61.4%-8.0%53.4%
Q3 | 9:48 | MIA:60 SAS:63 | Poss:SASDanny Green makes 25-foot three point jumper (Manu Ginobili assists)Q3 | 9:40 | MIA:60 SAS:66 | Poss:MIA58.1%+7.4%65.5%
Q3 | 11:02 | MIA:55 SAS:61 | Poss:MIAMario Chalmers makes three point jumper (LeBron James assists)Q3 | 10:56 | MIA:58 SAS:61 | Poss:SAS64.2%-6.4%57.8%

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