Thursday, June 13, 2013

NBA Finals Game 4 - Win Probability Graph

Here is the win probability graph for Game 4. More background here and here.

Miami Heat109 Excitement5.0
San Antonio Spurs93 Comeback2.6


TOP PLAYS
Prior StatePlayEnd StateBeforeChangeAfter
Q4 | 11:14 | MIA:81 SAS:76 | Poss:MIARay Allen makes 25-foot three point jumper (Norris Cole assists)Q4 | 11:06 | MIA:84 SAS:76 | Poss:SAS28.2%-9.0%19.2%
Q3 | 1:47 | MIA:76 SAS:70 | Poss:SASGary Neal makes 26-foot three point jumper (Danny Green assists)Q3 | 1:39 | MIA:76 SAS:73 | Poss:MIA30.5%+8.3%38.8%
Q3 | 1:39 | MIA:76 SAS:73 | Poss:MIADwyane Wade makes free throw 1 of 1Q3 | 1:14 | MIA:79 SAS:73 | Poss:SAS38.8%-8.0%30.8%
Q4 | 11:06 | MIA:84 SAS:76 | Poss:SASGary Neal makes 28-foot three point jumperQ4 | 10:45 | MIA:84 SAS:79 | Poss:MIA19.2%+7.5%26.7%
Q3 | 5:50 | MIA:62 SAS:61 | Poss:MIAMario Chalmers makes three point jumper (Mike Miller assists)Q3 | 5:41 | MIA:65 SAS:61 | Poss:SAS48.8%-7.4%41.4%

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