NBA Finals Game 3 - Win Probability Graph
Here is the win probability graph for Game 3. More background here and here. Top play was Gary Neal's three point buzzer beater at the half.
| Miami Heat | 77 | Excitement | 2.8 | |
| San Antonio Spurs | 113 | Comeback | 0.8 |
| TOP PLAYS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prior State | Play | End State | Before | Change | After |
| Q2 | 0:03 | MIA:44 SAS:47 | Poss:SAS | Gary Neal makes 25-foot three point jumper (Tony Parker assists) | Q2 | 0:00 | MIA:44 SAS:50 | Poss:MIA | 66.7% | +7.6% | 74.3% |
| Q3 | 12:00 | MIA:44 SAS:50 | Poss: | Chris Bosh bad pass (Kawhi Leonard steals) | Q3 | 11:48 | MIA:44 SAS:50 | Poss:SAS | 69.3% | +6.9% | 76.2% |
| Q2 | 1:14 | MIA:39 SAS:43 | Poss:MIA | Mike Miller makes 24-foot three point jumper (LeBron James assists) | Q2 | 1:07 | MIA:42 SAS:43 | Poss:SAS | 66.3% | -5.1% | 61.1% |
| Q2 | 0:37 | MIA:44 SAS:44 | Poss:SAS | Tony Parker makes 24-foot three point jumper (Manu Ginobili assists) | Q2 | 0:26 | MIA:44 SAS:47 | Poss:MIA | 58.4% | +5.0% | 63.4% |
| Q3 | 9:41 | MIA:46 SAS:54 | Poss:SAS | Danny Green makes 24-foot three point jumper | Q3 | 9:26 | MIA:46 SAS:57 | Poss:MIA | 80.5% | +4.8% | 85.3% |
Leave a Comment