Saturday, October 13, 2012

The Turnover Index - Week 6

The Turnover Index got off to a rough start this season.  The first and only pick was for Jacksonville to cover the spread as a 6 point underdog against Chicago.  Just missed it.

Turnover Index Through Week 5 (ATS): 0-1-0

Here is the outlook for the week 6 games (see here and here for background):


"home.dto" and "away.dto" are the season-to-date defensive turnovers for the home and away teams. As before, we're looking for any games where there is at least a 10 turnover differential between the teams. The only game that qualifies this week is Oakland at Atlanta. Oakland has 11 fewer turnovers, so the expectation is that Oakland is more likely than not to cover the 9 point spread.

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