Tuesday, March 6, 2012

College Basketball Team Rankings - March 5, 2012

Barascudts cardinals playing chess l
Barascudts cardinals playing chess

Here are the College Basketball Team Rankings as of February 27, 2012.  These rankings use the Vegas point spreads to derive an implied team by team ranking. My original post of the rankings has more detail on the methodology.


I don't have much time for commentary this week, only to note that the Louisville Cardinals can now lay claim to being the best unranked team.



The Rankings (glossary below):

Other Rankings
Rank Team LstWk GPF Conf SOS GWP KenPom AP Coaches
1 Kentucky 1 19.5 SEC 1 3.5 59 0.96 1 1 1
2 North Carolina 5 18.0 ACC 1 4.0 50 0.95 5 4 4
3 Ohio St. 2 18.0 B10 1 7.5 2 0.95 2 7 7
4 Kansas 4 17.5 B12 1 6.0 17 0.95 4 3 3
5 Michigan St. 6 16.5 B10 2 6.5 9 0.94 3 8 8
6 Syracuse 3 16.0 BE 1 4.0 54 0.94 6 2 2
7 Missouri 9 14.0 B12 2 5.0 39 0.91 9 5 5
8 Wisconsin 8 12.5 B10 3 7.0 6 0.89 7 14 12
9 Wichita St. 11 12.0 MVC 1 2.0 85 0.88 8 16 16
10 Gonzaga 20 11.5 WCC 1 1.0 106 0.88 31 24 25
11 Louisville 17 11.5 BE 2 6.0 15 0.87 30
12 Marquette 12 11.5 BE 3 5.0 35 0.87 17 9 9
13 Vanderbilt 14 11.5 SEC 2 5.5 21 0.87 21
14 Kansas St. 25 11.5 B12 3 5.0 32 0.87 19
15 Duke 7 11.5 ACC 2 5.5 29 0.87 16 6 6
16 Memphis 26 11.0 CUSA 1 2.5 68 0.86 11
17 California 13 11.0 P12 1 2.0 80 0.86 22
18 Indiana 19 10.5 B10 4 8.0 1 0.86 10 15 15
19 New Mexico 18 10.5 MWC 1 0.5 115 0.86 14
20 Georgetown 16 10.5 BE 4 6.0 16 0.85 13 13 14
21 UNLV 23 10.0 MWC 2 2.0 81 0.84 32 20 20
22 Michigan 27 10.0 B10 5 7.0 4 0.84 20 10 13
23 Florida 10 10.0 SEC 3 5.5 26 0.84 18 22 19
24 Baylor 15 9.5 B12 4 7.0 3 0.83 15 12 11
25 Virginia 32 9.5 ACC 3 4.0 48 0.83 24
26 Texas 22 9.5 B12 5 6.5 11 0.83 26
27 Florida St. 30 9.5 ACC 4 4.5 43 0.83 28 17 17
28 Cincinnati 37 9.5 BE 5 4.5 44 0.82 34
29 St. Mary's 33 9.0 WCC 2 0.0 125 0.82 43 18
30 Saint Louis 21 9.0 A10 1 1.0 109 0.82 12
31 Purdue 34 9.0 B10 6 5.5 25 0.82 25
32 West Virginia 28 9.0 BE 6 5.5 28 0.81 40
33 UCLA 31 8.5 P12 2 2.5 76 0.81 44
34 Connecticut 36 8.5 BE 7 6.0 18 0.81 38
35 Temple 24 8.0 A10 2 1.5 101 0.80 33 21 24
36 Creighton 42 8.0 MVC 2 2.0 84 0.80 35 19 22
37 Alabama 43 8.0 SEC 4 5.0 36 0.79 29
38 BYU 35 8.0 WCC 3 0.5 121 0.79 47
39 Iowa St. 52 8.0 B12 6 4.5 42 0.79 27 25
40 Arizona 39 8.0 P12 3 2.5 79 0.79 52
41 Long Beach St. 38 8.0 BW 1 0.5 119 0.79 41
42 Washington 48 7.5 P12 4 3.0 64 0.78 63
43 Notre Dame 29 7.5 BE 8 6.0 14 0.78 36 23 23
44 VA Commonwealth 46 7.5 CAA 1 -2.0 170 0.78 46
45 Minnesota 41 7.5 B10 7 5.0 40 0.77 58
46 Northwestern 40 7.0 B10 8 7.0 7 0.76 50
47 Illinois 44 7.0 B10 9 7.0 8 0.76 68
48 North Carolina St. 49 7.0 ACC 5 3.5 55 0.76 48
49 Pittsburgh 45 7.0 BE 9 5.5 23 0.76 79
50 Mississippi St. 69 6.5 SEC 5 1.5 93 0.75 74
51 San Diego St. 54 6.5 MWC 3 2.0 82 0.75 51 18 21
52 Harvard 60 6.5 Ivy 1 -3.0 213 0.75 37
53 Oregon 57 6.5 P12 5 3.0 66 0.75 57
54 Iona 62 6.5 MAAC 1 -3.5 225 0.74 56
55 Clemson 50 6.5 ACC 6 2.5 77 0.74 70
56 Tennessee 47 6.5 SEC 6 3.5 58 0.74 54
57 Stanford 56 6.5 P12 6 2.5 74 0.74 53
58 Seton Hall 55 6.0 BE 10 5.0 41 0.74 62
59 South Florida 53 6.0 BE 11 4.0 47 0.73 67
60 Miami Florida 51 5.5 ACC 7 3.0 65 0.72 39
61 Drexel 70 5.0 CAA 2 -3.0 208 0.70 42
62 Wagner 5.0 NEC 1 -100.0 256 0.70 114
63 Xavier 68 5.0 A10 3 3.0 61 0.70 60
64 Oregon St. 61 5.0 P12 7 2.5 78 0.70 94
65 Murray St. 66 5.0 OVC 1 -5.0 243 0.69 45 11 10

Glossary

  • LstWk - The team's ranking from the prior week
  • GPF - Stands for "Generic Points Favored".  It's what you'd expect the team to be favored by against a Div-I average opponent at a neutral site.
  • Conf - The conference the team plays in and their GPF rank within that conference
  • SOS - Stands for "Strength of Schedule".  It's the average GPF of the teams faced thus far this season (along with the corresponding rank).
  • GWP - Stands for "Generic Win Probability".  I converted the GPF into a win probability using the following formula: GWP = 1/(1+exp(-GPF/6))
  • KenPom - The team's rank according to kenpom.com.  The best college basketball stats site you're going to find.
  • AP - The team's rank (if it exists) according to the AP Top 25 poll.
  • Coaches - The team's rank (if it exists) according to the ESPN/USA Today Coaches poll.

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