Monday, February 6, 2012

College Basketball Team Rankings - February 6, 2012


Here are the College Basketball Betting Market Team Rankings as of February 6, 2012.  These rankings use the Vegas point spreads to derive an implied team by team ranking.  I view these as an additional benchmark one can use to evaluate team strength in the NCAA; something to compare against vote-based rankings like the AP and Coaches polls, and the fundamental stat-based rankings found at kenpom.com (and thanks to Ken for tweeting a link to this blog on Saturday - it doubled my cumulative page views in a matter of minutes).


The Rankings

Ohio State maintains its spot at the top, with a comfortable 2 point cushion over the next best team (which is significant, considering how bunched together the GPF's tend to be).



Despite their undefeated record, the betting market still doesn't think much of Murray State at this point.

On the flip side, you have Wichita State and New Mexico; two teams ranked strongly here, as well as kenpom.com, but neither are in the Top 25 in the two major polls.

Other Rankings
Rank Team LstWk GPF Conf SOS GWP KenPom AP Coaches
1 Ohio St. 1 19.0 B10 1 5.5 14 0.96 1 3 3
2 Kentucky 2 17.0 SEC 1 2.0 86 0.94 2 1 1
3 Kansas 5 17.0 B12 1 6.0 11 0.94 3 7 10
4 North Carolina 3 16.5 ACC 1 3.0 59 0.94 8 5 5
5 Syracuse 4 16.5 BE 1 3.5 48 0.94 6 2 2
6 Duke 8 14.5 ACC 2 4.5 30 0.92 15 10 9
7 Michigan St. 6 14.0 B10 2 5.5 18 0.91 5 11 12
8 Baylor 9 14.0 B12 2 6.5 4 0.91 10 6 6
9 Missouri 7 13.5 B12 3 3.5 49 0.90 7 4 4
10 Wisconsin 10 13.0 B10 3 6.0 9 0.90 4 21 22
11 UNLV 11 12.5 MWC 1 2.5 72 0.89 18 14 16
12 Wichita St. 12 12.5 MVC 1 2.5 70 0.89 16
13 Marquette 14 12.0 BE 2 4.5 25 0.88 20 18 19
14 New Mexico 18 11.5 MWC 2 0.0 130 0.88 11
15 Florida 13 11.5 SEC 2 4.0 41 0.87 14 8 7
16 Alabama 17 11.0 SEC 3 5.5 13 0.86 24
17 Gonzaga 21 10.5 WCC 1 1.0 110 0.85 33
18 California 19 10.5 P12 1 2.5 66 0.85 21
19 Connecticut 30 10.0 BE 3 5.0 21 0.84 39
20 Louisville 27 10.0 BE 4 4.0 40 0.84 26 24 23
21 Michigan 36 10.0 B10 4 6.5 6 0.84 30 22 25
22 BYU 20 10.0 WCC 2 1.0 108 0.84 34
23 Saint Louis 22 10.0 A10 1 1.0 111 0.84 12
24 Kansas St. 15 10.0 B12 4 4.5 32 0.84 22
25 West Virginia 25 9.5 BE 5 6.0 12 0.83 32
26 Vanderbilt 28 9.5 SEC 4 5.0 23 0.83 31
27 Indiana 16 9.5 B10 5 7.5 1 0.83 9 23 23
28 Texas 26 9.5 B12 5 7.0 3 0.83 23
29 Creighton 29 9.5 MVC 2 2.0 92 0.83 25 17 15
30 Georgetown 23 9.5 BE 6 5.5 15 0.82 13 12 11
31 Long Beach St. 34 9.0 BW 1 2.0 85 0.82 46
32 Purdue 32 9.0 B10 6 3.5 45 0.82 40
33 Cincinnati 37 9.0 BE 7 4.5 36 0.81 50
34 Pittsburgh 40 8.5 BE 8 5.0 20 0.81 68
35 Harvard 31 8.5 Ivy 1 -3.0 216 0.81 37 25 21
36 Florida St. 24 8.5 ACC 3 3.5 46 0.81 17 15 17
37 UCLA 35 8.5 P12 2 2.0 88 0.80 51
38 Minnesota 38 8.5 B10 7 2.5 65 0.80 45
39 Illinois 41 8.0 B10 8 5.5 16 0.80 41
40 St. Mary's 39 8.0 WCC 3 0.5 118 0.80 27 16 13
41 Virginia 33 8.0 ACC 4 2.0 81 0.79 19 19 20
42 Arizona 43 7.5 P12 3 3.0 57 0.78 36
43 Washington 49 7.5 P12 4 3.5 47 0.77 64
44 Memphis 42 7.0 CUSA 1 3.5 51 0.76 29
45 Seton Hall 53 7.0 BE 9 4.0 37 0.76 69
46 Xavier 45 7.0 A10 2 3.0 54 0.76 57
47 VA Commonwealth 57 7.0 CAA 1 -2.5 204 0.76 56
48 Iowa St. 58 7.0 B12 6 4.0 39 0.76 35
49 Mississippi St. 46 7.0 SEC 5 1.0 105 0.76 70 20 18
50 Northwestern 54 6.5 B10 9 7.0 2 0.75 71
51 North Carolina St. 48 6.5 ACC 5 2.0 82 0.75 61
52 Stanford 59 6.5 P12 5 1.5 94 0.74 60
53 Miami Florida 47 6.5 ACC 6 1.5 97 0.74 52
54 San Diego St. 50 6.0 MWC 3 2.0 78 0.73 63 13 14
55 Southern Miss 61 6.0 CUSA 2 0.5 115 0.73 44
56 Northern Iowa 55 6.0 MVC 3 1.0 112 0.73 74
57 Oregon St. 56 6.0 P12 6 1.5 96 0.73 77
58 Temple 44 6.0 A10 3 2.0 83 0.73 38
59 Iona 51 5.5 MAAC 1 -4.0 234 0.72 49
60 Colorado 68 5.5 P12 7 3.0 56 0.71 85
61 Notre Dame 62 5.5 BE 10 6.5 5 0.71 47
62 Clemson 63 5.0 ACC 7 0.5 116 0.70 91
63 Virginia Tech 52 5.0 ACC 8 2.5 68 0.70 67
64 Wyoming 69 5.0 MWC 4 -2.0 183 0.70 54
89 Murray St. 74 3.0 OVC 1 -5.0 247 0.63 65 9 7

Glossary

  • LstWk - The team's ranking from the prior week
  • GPF - Stands for "Generic Points Favored".  It's what you'd expect the team to be favored by against a Div-I average opponent at a neutral site.
  • Conf - The conference the team plays in and their GPF rank within that conference
  • SOS - Stands for "Strength of Schedule".  It's the average GPF of the teams faced thus far this season (along with the corresponding rank).
  • GWP - Stands for "Generic Win Probability".  I converted the GPF into a win probability using the following formula: GWP = 1/(1+exp(-GPF/6))
  • KenPom - The team's rank according to kenpom.com.  The best college basketball stats site you're gonna find.
  • AP - The team's rank (if it exists) according to the AP Top 25 poll.
  • Coaches - The team's rank (if it exists) according to the ESPN/USA Today Coaches poll.

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